ФОРМАТИ СВІТОУСТРОЮ В УМОВАХ СИСТЕМНОЇ НЕВИЗНАЧЕНОСТІ: ПОГЛЯД СОЦІОЛОГА

Автор(и)

  • Вікторія Погрібна Національний юридичний університет імені Ярослава Мудрого, Україна

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.21564/2663-5704.55.268537

Ключові слова:

світоустрій, монополярність, біполярність, мультиполярність, SPOD-світ, VUCA-світ, BANI-світ, CAMPUS-світ

Анотація

В статті проводиться аналіз процесів, що характеризують зміну форматів світоустрою за часів переходу від SPOD- до VUCA-, а потім і BANI-світу. Оцінюються результати функціонування та перспективи динаміки основних моделей політичної поляризації (моно-, бі-, мультиполярність) світу. Пропонується оригінальний авторський погляд на перспективи подальшого переформатування світоустрою через створення CAMPUS-системи, характеристиками якої є розбудова конкурентного (Competitive), рухливого (Agile), багатовекторного (Multi-vector), прагматичного (Pragmatic), несбалансованого (Unbalanced), егоїстичного (Selfish) світу.

Біографія автора

Вікторія Погрібна , Національний юридичний університет імені Ярослава Мудрого

докторка соціологічних наук, професорка, професорка кафедри соціології та політології

Посилання

Rozumyuk, V. (2016). Model’ bahatopolyarnoyi systemy mizhnarodnykh vidnosyn: stabil’nist’ і konfliktohennist’ [The model of the multipolar system of international relations: stability and conflict potential]. Yevropeys’ki istorychni studiyi – European historical studies, 4, 234–248 [in Ukrainian].

Acharya, A. (2020). The Myth of the “Civilization State”: Rising Powers and the Cultural Challenge to World Order. Ethics & International Affairs, 34 (2), 139–156.

Alcaro, R. (2015). The West, multipolarity, and the liberal order. The Brookings Institution. 10.04. Retrieved from https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2015/04/10/the-west-multipolarity-and-the-liberal-order/

Blagden, D. (2015). Global Multipolarity, European Security and Implications for UK Grand Strategy: Back to the Future, Once Again. International Affairs, 91 (2), 333–350. DOI: 10.1111/1468-2346.12238

Blagden, D. (2019). Power, polarity, and prudence: the ambiguities and implications of UK discourse on a multipolar international system. Defence Studies, 19 (3), 209-234. DOI: 10.1080/14702436.2019.1643243

Cooley, A., & Nexon, D. (2020). Exit from Hegemony: The Unraveling of the American Global Order. New York, NY : Oxford University Press.

Dolan, C. J. (2018). Obama and the emergence of a multipolar world order : redefining U.S. foreign policy. Lanham, Maryland : Lexington Books.

Haass, R. (2018). A World in Disarray : American Foreign Policy and the Crisis of the Old Order. New York, NY : Penguin Books.

Jones, B. (2019). А Not Quite Multipolar World. In McGann, M. (Ed.). Think Tanks, Foreign Policy and the Emerging Powersm, Pp. 61-78. Cham : Springer International Publishing : Imprint: Palgrave Macmillan.

Martill, B., & ten Brinke, L. (2020). Europe in a multipolar world. Strategic Updates. June. Retrieved from https://www.lse.ac.uk/ideas/Assets/Documents/updates/LSE-IDEAS-Europe-in-a-Multipolar-World.pdf

Mearsheimer, J. J. (1990). Why We Will Soon Miss the Cold War. The Atlantic Monthly, 266 (2), 35-50. Retrieved from https://www.mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/A0014.pdf

Murray, D., & Brown, D. (Eds.) (2018). Power relations in the twenty-first century : mapping a multipolar world? London : New York : Routledge, Taylor & Francis Group.

Black, J.L., Johns, M., & Theriault, A.D. (Eds.) (2019). The new world disorder : challenges and threats in an uncertain world. Lanham : Lexington Books.

Tizzard, D.А. (2017). American Unipolarity: The Uneven Distribution of Power. Global Politics Review, 3 (2), 10-25. Retrieved from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gpr/journl/v3y2017i2p10-25.html

Getmanchuk, M., & Straikher, O. (2021). Peculiarities of the Concepts of International and World Order Interpretation in Modern International Relations. Istoryko-politychni problemy suchasnoho svitu: Zbirnyk naukovykh statey – Historical and political problems of the modern world: Collection of scientific article, 44, 9-16.

Herasina, L.M., Trebin, M.P., & Volianska, O.V. (2022). Macrofluctuations of the international system under the influence of global turbulence and hybrid wars. Visnyk Natsionalnoho yurydychnoho universytetu imeni Yaroslava Mudroho. Seriia: Filosofiia, filosofiia prava, politolohiia, sotsiolohiia – Bulletin of the Yaroslav Mudryi National Law University. Series: Philosophy, philosophy of law, political science, sociology, 2 (53), 133-155.

Herasina, L. M. (2016). Istoryko-politychna evolyutsiya mizhnarodnykh system: sutnist’, zakonomirnosti, typy [Historical and political evolution of international systems: essence, regularities, types]. Visnyk Natsionalnoho yurydychnoho universytetu imeni Yaroslava Mudroho. Seriia: Filosofiia, filosofiia prava, politolohiia, sotsiolohiia – Bulletin of the Yaroslav Mudryi National Law University. Series: Philosophy, philosophy of law, political science, sociology, 2 (29), 80–94 [in Ukrainian].

Herasina, L. M., & Trebin, M. P. (2020). “Zlamy svitosystemy”: hlobalni zrushennia ta hibrydni vyklyky [“Breaking the World System”: Global Shifts and Hybrid Challenges]. Visnyk Natsionalnoho yurydychnoho universytetu imeni Yaroslava Mudroho. Seriia: Filosofiia, filosofiia prava, politolohiia, sotsiolohiia – Bulletin of the Yaroslav Mudryi National Law University. Series: Philosophy, philosophy of law, political science, sociology, 4 (47), 72–93 [in Ukrainian].

Dashevs’ka, O. (2015). Novyi svitovyi poriadok: teoretychni kontseptsiyi [New world order: theoretical concepts]. Evropský politický a právní diskurz European political and law discourse, 2 (4), 59–64 [in Ukrainian].

Zubov, V.O. (2016). Novyi svitovyi poriadok: kroskulturnyi pastysh [The New World Order: A Cross-Cultural Pastiche]. Kulturolohichnyi visnyk Cultural Bulletin, 35 (1), 115-121 [in Ukrainian].

Mishchenko, A.B. (2020). Novyi svitovyi poriadok: mizhnarodnyi dyskurs [The New World Order: International Discourse]. Mizhnarodni vidnosyny: teoretyko-praktychni aspekty International relations: theoretical and practical aspects, 6, 44-55 [in Ukrainian].

Polishchuk, I.O. (2022). Napad Rosiyi na Ukrayinu yak pretenziya na avtorytarnu zminu svitovoho poryadku [Russia’s attack on Ukraine as a claim to an authoritarian change in the world order]. Visnyk Natsionalnoho yurydychnoho universytetu imeni Yaroslava Mudroho. Seriia: Filosofiia, filosofiia prava, politolohiia, sotsiolohiia – Bulletin of the Yaroslav Mudryi National Law University. Series: Philosophy, philosophy of law, political science, sociology, 2 (53), 156–165 [in Ukrainian].

Fesenko, M.V. (2014). Kontseptual’na interpretatsiya mizhnarodnoho ta svitovoho poryadku [Conceptual interpretation of the international and world order]. Naukovyi Visnyk Dyplomatychnoyi akademiyi Ukrayiny – Scientific Bulletin of the Diplomatic Academy of Ukraine, 21 (2), 105-110 [in Ukrainian].

After VUCA, the transformation to a BANI world. LLYC IDEAS. 16.03.2021. URL: https://ideasen.llorenteycuenca.com/2021/03/16/after-vuca-the-transformation-to-a-bani-world/ (accessed date: 30.10.2022).

BANI: A new framework to make sense of a chaotic world. Think insights. Retrieved from https://thinkinsights.net/leadership/bani/

Berger, R. (2013). How to Survive in the VUCA World. Hamburg: Roland Berger.

Cascio, J. (2020). Facing the Age of Chaos. Medium. 29.04. Retrieved from https://medium.com/@cascio/facing-the-age-of-chaos-b00687b1f51d

Horney, N., Pasmore, B., & O’Shea, T. Leadership Agility: A Business Imperative for a VUCA World. Retrieved from https://luxorgroup.fr/coaching/wp-content/uploads/Leadership-agility-model.pdf

Kok, J.(K.), & van den Heuvel, S.C. (Eds.) (2019). Leading in a VUCA World : Integrating Leadership, Discernment and Spirituality. Cham : Springer International Publishing : Imprint: Springer.

Mack, O., Khare, A., Krämer, A., & Burgartz, T. (Eds.) (2016). Managing in a VUCA World. Cham : Springer International Publishing : Imprint: Springer.

Indapurkar, K., & Sidana, N. (Eds.) (2022). Sustainable development goals : lessons and challenges in the VUCA world. New Delhi : Bloomsbury.

Mel’nyk, M. (2022). Tenditna ta nespokiynaepokha: yak tekhnolohiyi zminyuyut’ sviti yak buty do ts’oho hotovym [Fragile and Unsettled Age: How Technology is Changing the World and How to Be Prepared for It]. HIGHLOAD. 29.04. Retrieved from https://highload.today/uk/blogs/tenditna-ta-nespokijna-epoha-yak-tehnologiyi-zminyuyut-svit-i-yak-buti-do-tsogo-gotovim/ [in Ukrainian].

Miroshnikova, A. Shcho take svit BANI ta yak nam pidhotuvaty do noho ditei [What is the world of BANI and how can we prepare children for it]? Osvitoriia. Retrieved from https://osvitoria.media/experience/shho-take-svit-bani-ta-yak-nam-pidgotuvaty-do-nogo-ditej/ [in Ukrainian].

Snysarenko, YU. (2022). SPOD – chomu tsey svit uzhe proydeno i bil’she ne povernet’sya [SPOD – why has this world already passed and will not return]? Bez zmorshok. 25.06. Retrieved from https://zmorshki.in.ua/psyholohiya/spod-chomy-cei-svit-yje-proideno-i-bilshe-ne-povernetsia/ [in Ukrainian].

Stehostenko, I. (2022). Novi vyklyky: proshchay, svit VUCA, laskavo prosymo u svit BANI [New challenges: goodbye, VUCA world, welcome to the BANI world]. Mind. 21.01. Retrieved from https://mind.ua/openmind/20235173-novi-vikliki-proshchaj-svit-vuca-laskavo-prosimo-u-svit-bani [in Ukrainian].

Chalyuk, Yu. (2022). Hlobal’nyy sotsial’no-ekonomichnyy rozvytok v umovakh VUCA, SPOD, DEST ta BANI svitu [Global socio-economic development in the conditions of VUCA, SPOD, DEST and BANI world]. Ekonomika ta suspil’stvo – Economy and society, 36. Retrieved from https://economyandsociety.in.ua/index.php/journal/article/view/1133/1091 [in Ukrainian].

Vystuplenie Vladimira Putina na Mjunhenskoj konferencii po voprosam politiki bezopasnosti. Mjunhen, 10 fevralja 2007 g. [Vladimir Putin’s speech at the Munich Conference on Security Policy. Munich, February 10, 2007]. Retrieved from https://ru.wikisource.org/wiki/%D0%A0%D0%B5%D1%87%D1%8C_%D0%9F%D1%83%D1%82%D0%B8%D0%BD%D0%B0_%D0%B2_%D0%9C%D1%8E%D0%BD%D1%85%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%B5_(2007)[in Russian].

Valdajskaja rech’ Putina: Vystuplenie na itogovoj plenarnoj sessii XI zasedanija Mezhdunarodnogo diskussionnogo kluba «Valdaj» v g. Sochi. Tema zasedanija – «Mirovoj porjadok: novye pravila ili igra bez pravil?» [Putin’s Valdai speech: Speech at the final plenary session of the XI meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club in Sochi. The topic of the session is “World order: new rules or a game without rules?”]. Retrieved from https://ru.wikisource.org/wiki/%D0%92%D0%B0%D0%BB%D0%B4%D0%B0%D0%B9%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B0%D1%8F_%D1%80%D0%B5%D1%87%D1%8C_%D0%9F%D1%83%D1%82%D0%B8%D0%BD%D0%B0_(2014) [in Russian].

Poslaniye Prezidenta Federal’nomu sobraniyu, 1 marta 2018 goda, Moskva [Address of the President to the Federal Assembly, March 1, 2018, Moscow]. Retrieved from https://www.prlib.ru/item/761572 [in Russian].

Polnyy tekst obrashcheniya Vladimira Putina na “Valdaye” 27 oktyabrya 2022 [Full text of Vladimir Putin’s address at “Valdai” on October 27, 2022]. Komsomol’skaja pravda. 27.10. Retrieved from https://www.kp.ru/daily/27463/4668903/[in Russian].

Katrichenko, T. (2022). Illyuziya velichiya. Kak Putin khochet razdelit’ mir, snova trebuya peregovorov s Zapadom [Illusion of greatness. How Putin wants to divide the world, again demanding negotiations with the West]. Fokus. 28.10. Retrieved from https://focus.ua/politics/534904-valdajskaya-rech-kak-putin-hochet-razdelit-mir-snova-trebuya-peregovorov-s-zapadom [in Russian].

Nova svitova real’nist’: revolyutsiynyy vystup topdyplomata YeS Zhozepa Borrelya (12.10.2022 r.) [The new global reality: the revolutionary speech of the top EU diplomat Josep Borrell (October 12, 2022)]. FREEDOM. 12.10.2022. Retrieved from https://uatv.ua/uk/nova-svitova-realnist-revolyutsijnyj-vystup-topdyplomata-yes-zhozepa-borrelya/ [in Ukrainian].

Kogda «pobeda» — tol’ko nachalo. 25 tezisov politologa Pastukhova [When “victory” is just the beginning. 25 theses of the political scientist Pastukhov]. SVOBODNOYE PROSTRANSTVO. 12.08.2022. Retrieved from https://novaya.media/articles/2022/08/12/kogda-pobeda-tolko-nachalo-25-tezisov-politologa-pastukhova [in Russian].

Morgentau, H. J. (2006). Politics among Nations: the struggle for power and peace. 7th ed. / revised by Kenneth W. Thompson and W. David Clinton. Boston : McGraw-Hill Higher Education.

##submission.downloads##

Опубліковано

2023-01-11

Як цитувати

Погрібна , В. . (2023). ФОРМАТИ СВІТОУСТРОЮ В УМОВАХ СИСТЕМНОЇ НЕВИЗНАЧЕНОСТІ: ПОГЛЯД СОЦІОЛОГА. "Вісник НЮУ імені Ярослава Мудрого". Серія: Філософія, філософія права, політологія, соціологія, 4(55). https://doi.org/10.21564/2663-5704.55.268537

Номер

Розділ

Соціологія